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Tuesday, December 28, 2010

My BLOG: Wishing all a happy New year. Future 2011 Telecom & IT Watch

Year 2010 has seen many changes in the way Telecom and IT has evolved and year 2011 will be interesting to look forward. This blog focuses on Hits and misses for year 2010 and way forward for year 2011.

Hits for 2010
- Mobile Phone : Shift from featured phone to smartphones , leading the way with iPhone and now challenged by Google android.
- Mobile broadband penetration with anywhere and anytime access to Intenet driven by coverage and speed to access information.
- Customer Experience : Enhance user experience of content viewing on screens led by iPhone,iPAD revolution.
- Cloud computing adoptation by IT within enterprise realizing pay per use resources scalability.
- Software as service (SAAS) by small medium enterprises with salesforce.com leading the way.
- Popularity of user created contents demostrated by facebook popularity and recent Wikileaks controversy.
- Adoptation of mobile penetration for rural applications like crop market price, weather report , crop advice , rural insurance and financing.

Misses for 2010
- Sporadic Growth of mobile internet traffic resulting in capacity contraint on radio network impacting end user experience.
- Fall of Nokia in innovating with market and customer needs.
- Spectrum issues worldwide and high price of spectrum on 3G/4G.
- User experience and security on cloud computing .
- Apple undermining potential of developing economy resulting in Samsung and LG exploiting the market.

2011 will be the year of break and changes in business model . Some of the interesting things to look forward are :
- Pressure on mobile revenue and profits.
- Roll out of 3G and smartphone penetration in developing countries.
- major Adoptaion of cloud computing and SAAS by big enterprises. Major software vendors will have SAAS model as part of offerings.
- Evolution of LTE , clarity on WIMAX vs LTE postioning and roll out plans.
- Succes of chinese equipment players like Huwaia . ZTE over European and American. This year may have high impact.
- Leveraging mobility as enterprise workplace strategy.
- M2M proof of concept for smart grids, cities.
- Debate on freedom of information with Wikileaks controversy.

India has been forefront runner in adopting technology and evolving business model:
- Mobile broadband (3 G) penetration and evolution of products offering- Video calls, TV on mobile
- Adoptation of smartphones led by Samsung and unfortunately iPhone missing the trick.
- Pressure on average revenue per user (ARPU) for operators.
- New operators business level sustainability .
- Adoptation of cloud computing SAAS by enterprise.
- Clarity on long term telecom policy.

Wishing all my friends a happy new year and looking forward to your comments, suggestions .

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